USD/JPY & US Retail Sales for October: Who can stop the US Dollar rally?

Today at 13:30 GMT will be released the US retail sales for October and we’re expecting no changes from last reading of 0.6% in September. During the last data, we saw an increase in the number, following a decline posted in August, but market’s analysts are optimistic about further gains for October. This event is also expected to bring some hints about further topping or continuation in the US dollar index, which has been strengthening after Donald Trump’s victory as the new US president.

Our technical view for USD/JPY at H1 chart remains bullish, as the pair remains well consolidated above the 50 SMA, but it’s reaching extreme levels to the upside. Currently, USD/JPY is trading around the 123.6% Fibo extension and one cannot rule out further advances towards the 110.03 level, if retail sales come better-than-expected. In a weak or dovish scenario, the pair is expected to start a corrective move until the 106.24 level.