Event to watch out for today:
03:30 GMT+3. JPY – Composite PMI
16:45 GMT+3. USD – Composite PMI
USDJPY:
The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to rise for the third consecutive session on Wednesday, likely due to the return of risk-off-oriented flows. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is expected to raise interest rates at next week’s policy meeting, prompting short sellers to exit their positions and lending support to the Japanese Yen.
A senior ruling party official, Toshimitsu Motegi, called on the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to more clearly outline its plan to normalize monetary policy by gradually raising interest rates, according to Reuters. Prime Minister Fumio Kishida added that normalizing the central bank’s monetary policy will facilitate Japan’s transition to a growth-oriented economy.
The U.S. dollar (USD) is facing challenges due to rising expectations for a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut in September, putting pressure on the USD/JPY pair. According to CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the Fed’s September meeting is 93.6%, up from 88.5% a day earlier.
Traders await the release of U.S. purchasing managers’ index (PMI) data on Wednesday and annualized gross domestic product (GDP) (Q2) on Thursday. The data is expected to provide new insights into the US economic situation.
Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Origin: FreshForex
