AUDUSD has been trading within a sideways channel over the last six weeks with upper boundary the 0.7475 resistance level and lower boundary the 18-month low of 0.7310. Moreover, the price holds within the 20- and 40-simple moving averages (SMAs) today and is ready to set a bearish session in the daily timeframe.
Technically, momentum indicators are endorsing the neutral to bearish weakness in the market. The RSI indicator is flattening and stands below the threshold of 50, however, the MACD oscillator is moving higher in the negative territory above its trigger line and is approaching the zero line with weak momentum,
Should prices drop further lower, this could open the way towards the 18-month low (0.7310). Further downside extensions could drive the pair until the 0.7160 hurdle, where it bottomed on December 2016.
To the upside, the first resistance for investors to have in mind is the 0.7475 barrier. If there is a jump above this region, the price could challenge the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of 0.7505 of the downleg from 0.8135 to 0.7310, increasing the chances for a bullish correction. Above this barrier, if there is an upside penetration of the falling trend line, the focus shifts to the upside until the 38.2% Fibonacci of 0.7625.
Finally, in the longer timeframe, AUDUSD has been trading within a descending move since January 26, however, in the short-term price action endorses the scenario for a sideways move.
Origin: XM
